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1
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2
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- In our Lancet paper published in July 1993, we announced that we planned
to do 6.2 million procedures during the period 1994-1998.
(Hieu DT, Tan TT, Tan DN, Nguyet PT, Than P, Vinh DQ. 31 781 cases of non-surgical female
sterilisation with quinacrine pellets in Vietnam. Lancet 1993; 342:213-217).
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3
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- In December 1993 WHO HRP sent a letter to Vietnam stating: “WHO experts and FDA officials have
said that they would be surprised if quinacrine did not turn out to be
carcinogenic.” The Vietnam QS
program was immediately brought to a halt for reevaluation.
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4
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- By February 1994, we had determined that this statement could not be
substantiated. The preponderance of scientific evidence suggested that
this statement was without merit.
We wanted to resume our QS program.
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5
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- Immediately, in the hallways of the Ministry, several threatening rumors
from international and UN agencies were heard: If the QS program is resumed, support
for family planning in Vietnam could be suspended/ withdrawn.
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6
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- Ministry officials feared that international and bilateral programs
would terminate their financial support to Vietnam (especially when WHO
and UNFPA departed). The decision
was made not to resume our highly popular QS program.
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7
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- The number of unnecessary deaths?
- The impact on our abortion rate?
- The costs in dollars to our country?
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8
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- In Vietnam, there are 10.3 million women ages 30-49. By age 30, 82% of women say they want
no more children, or 8.4 million.
- If the QS program can reach 80% of these women, then 8.4 x 0.80 = 6.7
million QS sterilizations would be required – a number we are confident
we can achieve.
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9
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10
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- Maternal deaths in 30-49 age group
= 190
Total maternal deaths (15-49 age group) = 321
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11
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- Total No. maternal deaths
x proportion of women who
are 30-49
- 2466 x 0.592 = 1460
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12
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13
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14
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15
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16
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- Someone must take responsibility for these 16,765 deaths of Vietnamese
women. They were needless.
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17
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18
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- Population of United States 280 million
- Population of Vietnam 80 million
Thus, the abortion rate in Vietnam is 3.5 times the U.S. rate.
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19
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- To arrive at the total fertility rate of 2.3 reached in Vietnam in 1997
with the following contraceptive method mix required a very high
abortion rate.
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20
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21
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22
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23
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24
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25
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- Cost savings in abortion and IUD insertions with our QS program alone
would make the desired contraceptive mix possible.
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26
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- These three costs that we have discussed are just a few reasons
Vietnamese women desire to have QS in their future.
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27
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- The future of QS in Vietnam is in doubt so long as WHO maintains its
opinion that QS likely causes cancer.
The government is not free to implement the findings of its own
risk-benefit assessment. A
fully-informed debate by FIGO would be an important first step toward
resolving this dilemma.
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